Policy and market promotion, global LED output value is expected to grow by 15% this year

According to the market research agency DIGITIMES Research estimates, in 2013 the global high-brightness LED output value will reach 11.29 billion US dollars, the annual growth rate will be 15.8%, driving the industry growth momentum mainly from lighting applications, estimated to account for nearly 30% of the overall application ; Relatively, the large and medium-sized LED backlights with a high proportion of highland will be reduced to 27.6%, mainly because the shipments of NB and Monitor will be reduced in 2013, plus the reduction in the number of LEDs required for direct-type LED TV backlights To.

In terms of the global LED lighting market, it is estimated that the market size will reach 25.4 billion US dollars in 2013, and the penetration rate will be 18.6%. The main reason is that LEDs will have room for price drops. It is expected to be 1,000 lumens per dollar (lm / $). In addition, LEDs using a large number of LED straight tube lights, ceiling lights, and commercial lighting will be the main products in 2013, so it is expected to drive LED lighting penetration.

In terms of the development of LED lighting manufacturers, DIGITIMES Research estimates that the total market share of the top ten players in 2013 will reach 45%. The traditional lighting-based players will continue to increase the proportion of LED lighting shipments during the year, from 20 to 20 in 2012. 25% has further increased to more than 30%. The top two companies with market share are expected to be Philips and Osram, with a combined market share of 23.1%.

2009 ~ 2015 global high-brightness LED market scale changes and forecast

(Source: DIGITIMES Research)

DIGITIMES Research also pointed out that with the announcement of the elimination of incandescent lamps in China and the government's support measures for the LED industry, 2013 will once again drive the development of the mainland LED lighting industry, especially after the "12th Five-Year Plan" focusing on the cultivation of emerging industries In addition, Sunshine Lighting, Foshan Lighting and NVC Lighting, the major listed companies in mainland China, have also followed up into the LED lighting industry.

From the overall revenue observation, the revenue of Sunshine Lighting and NVC Lighting continued to increase from 2011 to 2013. Sunshine Lighting was driven by the advantages of Philips' overseas channels, and NVC Lighting ended the battle for the benefit of management rights. The 2013 revenue of the two will be Reaching RMB 3.3 billion and RMB 4.6 billion, respectively, and Foshan Lighting is affected by illegal transactions, revenue will continue to decline, estimated at RMB 1.9 billion in 2013.

The replacement of street lamps in various countries will promote the growth of LED lighting output value by 46% this year

The latest market report published by LEDinside, the LED industry research department of TrendForce, a global market research organization, pointed out that 2013-2015 will be the global LED outdoor lighting replacement wave, of which Asia-Pacific China, Japan and Taiwan are the most active. With policy promotion, 2013 The annual output value of global outdoor lighting will reach 2.478 billion US dollars, and the annual growth rate will reach more than 46%.

Other emerging market countries, such as Thailand, Russia, Latin America, and Africa, will also welcome a large-scale street lamp replacement wave in 2014. Until 2015, the penetration rate of LED street lamps gradually slowed down, and the growth rate began to decline. The scale of LED street lamp replacements and new LED street lamps worldwide will be maintained at about 10 million.

LEDinside pointed out that various local provinces in the United States and Canada, such as San Diego, Seattle, and Los Angeles, have successively launched LED street lamp replacement solutions in the second half of 2012, and major local manufacturers such as Cooper Lighting, Cree, GE Lighting have also announced new Product line to meet different application needs.

European international manufacturers are not letting too much, Philip launched CityTouch, allowing users to more easily monitor all lighting systems in the entire city through the management interface. CityTouch can also report on the maintenance status of each lighting fixture for real-time monitoring and management. So far, CityTouch has been widely used by large European lighting operators.

In 2012, the global LED outdoor lighting market grew against the trend, with China's newly installed street lights accounting for 30% of the world's total. Subsidies from the government are still the main growth driver, especially under the situation of weak export sales, more companies are optimistic about the energy-saving renovation projects of China's public lighting.

Because the competition is very fierce, LED prices have been further reduced in 2012, and shipments are concentrated in the hands of companies with scale advantages. However, there are still many new manufacturers entering this market. LEDinside estimates that in 2013, with the financial subsidy bidding entering the installation period, this year's new installed capacity in Guangdong is expected to exceed 300,000 units, becoming the fastest growing regional market for LED outdoor lighting.

Taiwan Energy Bureau released 2 billion Taiwan dollars to expand the energy saving project plan for LED street lights. It is expected to replace 250,000 LED street lights between 2013 and 2014. This LED street lamp tender review adopted favorable bids, which is conducive to the use of Taiwanese manufacturers ’chips, LED components, power supplies, and heat sinks.

LEDinside believes that despite the fierce price competition in the bidding market and the low-cost manufacturers winning the bidding, the maintenance and warranty costs, the winning bidder may not be able to make too much profit, but it can bring revenue contribution. Therefore, the successful bidders such as Guanglin, Yiguang, Delta Electronics, and Hexi will become the main beneficiaries.

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