2008: Commercial lighting collective bullish expects golden prosperity


In the recent period, the rising prices of raw materials such as iron, steel, aluminum and copper in the lighting industry have caused widespread and large-scale production costs in the industry, product price increases, and the problems of the rise and fall of enterprises and changes in the pattern. Become the focus of industry colleagues. Looking at the entire lighting industry, commercial lighting is the first to bear the brunt of this wave of ups and downs. In the face of the surging tide, how can the majority of industry colleagues highlight the encirclement?

The price of raw materials is not decreasing

Core point of view: price increases due to raw material costs will continue

Generally speaking, under the conditions of a market economy, the reasons for product price increases are generally in the following three categories: the first category is the production cost factor, the second category is the supply and demand relationship, and the third category is speculation. type. Or because the two types of these three types work together, or even the three are combined, the primary and secondary are different.

In recent years, the raw materials of the lighting and lighting industry have continued to increase substantially, which is a well-known fact. Behind this fact, there are profound and complicated reasons. Tracing back to the source, the author believes that the overall situation is mainly caused by two factors: production cost factors and speculation.

Production cost factors mainly include material cost factors, especially bulk raw materials such as iron, steel, aluminum and copper; for example, the price of steel has increased by 2/3 compared with the same period of last year, and it has also shown a continuous upward trend, rising The direct reason is that the international long-term iron ore trading price has reached a one-time increase of 65% this year.

Such a large increase in costs is not possible for the steel company to digest internally. In other words, it can only be dealt with by means of price increases as the main means. In fact, a regular economic conclusion is that in the three major categories of product price increases, the relationship between supply and demand and the speculative behavior can be triggered by financial, administrative and other means, in a relatively short period of time. Solved within, or basically solved. However, the price increase caused by the production cost factor often has no effective solution, and it is even less likely to be resolved in the short term.

We know that the Chinese government, the top leaders of the country and related enterprises in China have made positive, unremitting efforts and great efforts to solve the problem of high price and excessive increase in the long-term iron ore trading in China. The results are not satisfactory. The reason is that the Western world saw the rapid rise of China's economy and became jealous, so its government and capital united to monopolize and control the upstream mines, and then through the price increase to cruelly deprive Chinese companies of profits, to suppress the international competition of Chinese companies. Forces - In other words, they are using such means to snatch the profits of China's huge economic machine, which is equivalent to taking a pipe into the heart of China's economic machine to suck blood. In particular, after the US subprime mortgage crisis, there was a large amount of international hot money from the real estate market flooding into the bulk raw materials market, hyping up and making waves, fueling the price of raw materials that were already on the rise.

From this one, it can be seen that the general trend of rising prices of raw materials such as upstream will not stop in the short term, and the prices that have risen will not fall back to the original level in the short term.


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