The first round of LED subsidy bidding is expected to announce the results at the end of June

On May 7, the Ministry of Science and Technology released the "12th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Semiconductor Lighting Technology (Draft for Comment)", which was proposed to 2015: LED lighting industry scale reached 500 billion yuan, LED lighting products accounted for 30% of general lighting Focus on cultivating 20-30 leading enterprises, and building 20 national-level industrial bases and 50 “Ten Cities and Ten Thousands” pilot demonstration cities. At the same time, the plan also pointed out that 125% of the 80% of the chips were nationalized, the light efficiency was improved, and the cost was reduced to 1/5.

With the current LED chip accounting for nearly 60% of the cost of lamps, the price reduction of optical chips can drive the cost of lamps down by nearly 50%. With the improvement of packaging technology and the popularity of high-efficiency and low-cost drive circuits, the cost of lamps can be reduced to 30-40. %, so that the price of LED bulbs replacing 40W incandescent lamps fell to around 20-30 yuan. The street lamp has a slightly smaller drop, but it can also drop to the mainstream price of around 1,000 yuan, which is beneficial for the accelerated penetration of LED. In addition, the development of national standards such as lamps, drive technology, and testing equipment, as well as the popularity of the EMC model, will also play a role in opening the market for LED lighting during the 12th Five-Year Plan period.

On March 20th, the first round of LED subsidy bidding in Beijing, the amount is not very large, about 2 million 盏 indoor downlights, spotlights, tens of thousands of street lights, the amount is only about 200 million yuan. As a result, companies used it as a branding tool, giving a very low offer and not contributing significantly to the company's performance. Among the 110 enterprises participating in the bidding, the quotations of the same type of products can differ by more than ten times, among which the prices of enterprises with traditional lighting are lower, and the bidding results will be announced in batches before the end of June. The bidding this year may not be less than five times.

Despite the large capacity of the upstream plan, many expansion plans have been delayed or even cancelled after the cold wave in the second half of last year. And from the policy level, the leading enterprises will be supported by the key points, so that the concentration of the industry will be further improved. In the peripheral market, Japan has completely stopped nuclear power this year, and there are a large number of LED demand. Taiwan plans to replace it with LED street lights within three years, which will help digest peripheral production capacity.

At the end of the first quarter of this year, the LED industry boomed, and backlight and lighting demand emerged in abundance, which made the order visibility return to about two months. The operating rate was greatly improved, and the leading companies were even close to full load. The analysis believes that with the promulgation of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” and the financial subsidies, the LED boom will further increase.

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